Easier Fed powers price gains for gold, silver


(Kitco News) – Gold and silver prices sharply up in early U.S. trading Thursday, in the aftermath of a surprisingly dovish lean on U.S. monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. February gold was last up $54.60 at $2,051.90. March silver was last up $1.454 at $24.375. (Gold and silver futures prices had officially settled before the FOMC meeting concluded Wednesday. Thus, the big gains noted in today’s prices.)

The marketplace got a dovish surprise from the Federal Reserve Wednesday. While the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left interest rates unchanged, the committee and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell pivoted from their heretofore hawkish rhetoric of a tight monetary policy and toward loosening policy, including future interest rate cuts. The Fed’s “dot plots” now indicate three interest rate cuts (totaling 0.75%) in 2024. Markets cheered the Fed news as the U.S. stock indexes hit new highs for the year, gold prices soared back above $2,000, the U.S. dollar index dropped sharply and Treasury yields declined. The benchmark 10-year note yield dropped below 4%. The now much-improved risk appetite in the general marketplace should work to support further gains in equities and commodity markets for at least the near term. A Barrons headline today reads: “Markets rejoice as Fed doves take flight….”

The Bank of England kept its monetary policy steady at its regular meeting Thursday. The European Central Bank monetary policy meeting was in progress as of this writing.

Asian and European stock markets were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock index futures are set to open higher, at new contract highs and new highs for the year, when the New York day session begins. The Dow Jones Industrial Average set a record-high close Wednesday.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly lower and it a four-month low, on follow-through selling pressure from Wednesday’s sharp losses. Nymex crude oil prices are up and trading around $71.00 a barrel, after hitting a 5.5-month low Wednesday. The yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is presently fetching 3.974%.

U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, retail sales, import and export price indexes, and manufacturing and trade inventories.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and have regained strength. Prices are in a nine-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in March futures above solid resistance at $2,100.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $1,987.90. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,055.20 and then at $2,072.70. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,039.10 and then at $2,025.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 7.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bulls have regained the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls’ next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $26.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at this week’s low of $22.785. First resistance is seen at $24.50 and then at $24.75. Next support is seen at $24.00 and then at $23.75. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 6.0.

Try out my “Markets Front Burner” email report. My next one is due out today and is going to be entitled, “When China sneezes…” Front Burner is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. And it’s free! Sign up to my new, free weekly Markets Front Burner newsletter, at  https://www.kitco.com/services/markets-front-burner.html .

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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